Contribution of China’s Renewable Energy in Shaping the Global Technological Cycle
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24160/1993-6982-2018-6-43-50Keywords:
economic cycles, technological modes, fourth industrial revolution, renewable energy sources, solar energyAbstract
The world’s economy is at the beginning of the fourth industrial revolution stemming from the advent of new power generation technologies. It is also at the early stage of setting up the next technological mode based on using new innovative technologies and on restructuring the industry, the economy of social structures, and the psychology of people. Wide-scale penetration of information technologies (based on the components of the elapsing period of time) into various areas of human activity (smart things, machines, robots, artificial intelligence, etc.) will become the technological driver in the new economic cycle. However, power generating technologies based on using renewable sources should become the key driver of the economy. The development of renewable energy around the world is analyzed. It is shown that in the last decade, renewable power generation has been developing at a faster rate than the other industry branches. This fact confirms the statement according to which renewable energy sources are becoming the basis of the new economic cycle that started in approximately 2010. In the future, solar power — a source featuring tremendous primary resources, lower operating costs and longer service life of generating capacities — should become the leader among the renewable sources of energy. The results presented in the article and their analysis have demonstrated that electricity generation from renewable energy sources satisfies the key driver criteria of the new technological cycle of global economy. Indeed, the already high cost of conventional energy carriers shows a continuing rapid growth, a circumstance that hampers further development of energy-intensive technologies and related economy sectors. A significant reduction in the cost of electricity produced from renewable energy sources should have the most favorable effect on the spheres of production, consumption, transport, living conditions, etc. A significant growth in available power helps increase the productivity and leads to breakthrough in the field of new technologies in all significant sectors of industry, transport, and communications. Probable development of this process and its possible consequences are presented.
References
2. Смил В. Энергетика: мифы и реальность. Научный подход к анализу мировой энергетической политики. М.: АСТ-Пресс, 2012.
3. Baweja B. e. a. Extreme Automation and Connectivity: the Global, Regional, and Investment Implications ofthe Fourth Industrial Revolution // UBS White Paper for the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, 2016.
4. Шваб К. Четвертая промышленная революция. М.: Эксмо, 2016.
5. Deo S. e. a. The New Global Context: Could economic transformations threaten stability? // UBS White Paper for the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, 2015.
6. The sixth Kondratieff — Long Wave of Prosperity // Frankfurt am Main: Analysis & Trends, 2010.
7. Kondratieff N.D. The Long Waves in Economic Life // Rev. of Economic Statistic. 1935. V. XVII. No. 6. Pp. 105—115.
8. Глазьев С.Ю. Теория долгосрочного техникоэкономического развития. М.: ВлаДар, 1993.
9. Глазьев С.Ю. Стратегия опережающего развития России в условиях глобального кризиса. М.: Экономика, 2010.
10. Воронков Э.Н. Солнечная энергетика может стать одним из ключевых факторов формирования нового технологического цикла // Промышленная энергетика. 2017. № 4. С. 48—53.
11. Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in China: Current Status and Prospects for 20020 // World Watch Rep. 2010. No. 182.
12. Background Paper: Chinese Renewables Status Rep. Paris: REN21, 2009.
13. Scaling Wind and Solar Power in China: Building the Grid to Meet Targets. Deutsche bank group, 2012.
14. Renewables 2017. Global Status Rep. Paris: REN21, 2017.
15. Nagalakshmi P. Mohd S.A. How did China Become the Largest Solar PV Manufacturing Country? // CSTEP. 2015. No. 2. Pp. 1—7.
16. Ran Fu e. a. U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System Cost Benchmark: Q1 2017. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2017.
17. Воронков Э.Н., Журавлев В.Г. Сколько может стоить солнечное электричество // Промышленная энергетика. 2015. № 7. C. 47—53.
18. The First Decade: 10 Years of Renewable Progress // REN21. 2015. No. 1. P. 48.
---
Для цитирования: Хэ Кай, Су Линь, Воронков Э.Н. Вклад возобновляемой энергетики Китая в формирование глобального технологического цикла // Вестник МЭИ. 2018. № 6. С. 43—50. DOI: 10.24160/1993-6982-2018-6-43-50.
#
1. Cherepovskiy A.V. Tsivilizatsii predstoit vyzhivat' bez chernogo zolota. Nezavisimaya gazeta. 2017;17 (325):13. (in Russian).
2. Smil V. Energetika: Mify i Real'nost'. Nauchnyy Podhod k Analizu Mirovoy Energeticheskoy Politiki. M.: AST-press, 2012. (in Russian).
3. Baweja B. e. a. Extreme Automation and Connectivity: the Global, Regional, and Investment Implications of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. UBS White Paper for the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, 2016.
4. Shvab K. Chetvertaya Promyshlennaya Revolyutsiya. M.: Eksmo, 2016. (in Russian).
5. Deo S. e. a. The New Global Context: Could economic transformations threaten stability? UBS White Paper for the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting, 2015.
6. The sixth Kondratieff — Long Wave of Prosperity. Frankfurt am Main: Analysis & Trends, 2010.
7. Kondratieff N.D. The Long Waves in Economic Life. Rev. of Economic Statistic. 1935;XVII;6:105—115.
8. Glaz'ev S.Yu. Teoriya Dolgosrochnogo Tekhnikoekonomicheskogo Razvitiya. M.: VlaDar, 1993. (in Russian).
9. Glaz'ev S.Yu. Strategiya Operezhayushchego Razvitiya Rossii v Usloviyah Global'nogo Krizisa. M.: Ekonomika, 2010. (in Russian).
10. Voronkov E.N. Solnechnaya Energetika Mozhet Stat' Odnim iz Klyuchevyh Faktorov Formirovaniya Novogo Tekhnologicheskogo Tsikla. Promyshlennaya Energetika. 2017;4:48—53. (in Russian).
11. Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in China: Current Status and Prospects for 2020. World Watch Rep. 2010;182.
12. Background Paper: Chinese Renewables Status Rep. Paris: REN21, 2009.
13. Scaling Wind and Solar Power in China: building the Grid to Meet Targets. Deutsche bank group, 2012.
14. Renewables 2017. Global Status Rep. Paris: REN21, 2017.
15. Nagalakshmi P. Mohd S.A. How did China Become the Largest Solar PV Manufacturing Country? CSTEP. 2015; 2:1—7.
16. Ran Fu e. a. U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System Cost Benchmark: Q1 2017. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2017.
17. Voronkov E.N., Zhuravlev V.G. Skol'ko Mozhet Stoit' Solnechnoe Elektrichestvo. Promyshlennaya Energetika. 2015;7:47—53. (in Russian).
18. The First Decade: 10 Years of Renewable Progress. REN21. 2015;1:48.
---
For citation: He Kai, Su Lin, Voronkov E.N. Contribution of China’s Renewable Energy in Shaping the Global Technological Cycle. MPEI Vestnik. 2018;6:43—50. (in Russian). DOI: 10.24160/1993-6982-2018-6-43-50.

